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Appalachian State

Appalachian State University · 2026 · Sun Belt

Efficiency
-3.9
84th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
4th
proj. of 14
Appalachian State Fanboard →

Appalachian State is 2-0 and ranked 84th in overall efficiency. Their 77th-ranked defense carries them, with an 86th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 105th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 28th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
+1 left
Q3
0-0
+1 left
Q4
2-0
+8 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
34th
+0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
117th
full season
128th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
108th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs MaineCoastal AthleticW 553+34.4100%7.8Q4
2@ East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#102W 2724+2.1100%-3.3Q4
3vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#137Preview+24.192%Q4
4@ NC StateACC#53Preview-11.924%Q2
6vs Old DominionSun Belt#106Preview+8.369%Q4
7@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#112Preview+4.159%Q4
8vs James MadisonSun Belt#75Preview+1.654%Q4
9@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#113Preview+4.160%Q4
10vs Georgia StateSun Belt#78Preview+1.854%Q4
11@ MarshallSun Belt#103Preview+2.656%Q4
12vs ULMSun Belt#134Preview+19.988%Q4
13@ South AlabamaSun Belt#90Preview-1.147%Q3

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Appalachian State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-9.5-1.6+6.38-3Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 28th
SR 25thYPP 34thEPA 28th
RushingEff 105th
SR 123rdYPP 107thEPA 96th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 37th
SR 45thYPP 35thEPA 39th
Rush defenseEff 135th
SR 137thYPP 129thEPA 131st
Dropback rate 42%Tempo +1.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 79th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 62%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 34%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 10.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 38.0Q2 · Allowed: 3.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 17.0Q3 · Allowed: 10.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 17.0Q4 · Allowed: 7.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledAppalachian StateOffenseDefense
Appalachian State Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 86th
-2.6
Field position: -0.9Finishing drives: -1.7
Field position -0.9Finishing drives -1.7= -2.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 96th · Finishing 79th

Defensive EffRanked 77th
-1.6
Field position: +1.6Finishing drives: -3.2
Field position +1.6Finishing drives -3.2= -1.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 16th · Finishing 93rd

3.42 points per drive on offense, 1.17 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(37)32% / 68%46%7.8
Q2(42)52% / 48%52%7.4
Q3(31)55% / 45%58%7.0
Q4(32)38% / 63%50%7.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(26)10.462%9.3
2nd(22)7.077%11.0
3rd(15)7.740%8.1
4th(0)
All (63)62%9.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(46)9.539%5.6
2nd(23)8.448%6.6
3rd(7)8.029%4.0
4th(3)1.3100%2.3
All (79)43%5.6

Appalachian State, all games.